BALLYBURN favourite at Punchestown

BALLYBURN has raced over hurdles four times for a second (on hurdle debut) and three wins. In all of his races he has been the odds-on favourite each time he has raced over hurdles and at 5/4 he looks quite good value even allowing for the strength of the field he is up against. SLADE STEEL is the main danger. I tipped this horse out when he won at Cheltenham last time out. That was a very hot field with a heap of last race winners in the race so he is a real chance of taking this out. FIREFOX is the only horse ever to have beaten Ballyburn and he is in this race but has never quite lived up to his earlier promise. 

#punchestown #ballyburn #sladesteeel

Punchestown (Ire) Champion Novice Hurdle 

PAST WINNERS

YEAR WINNER ODDS FORM LAST RACE

2023 Facile Vega 4/6f 1152 2^nd G1 Cheltenham

2022 Mighty Potter 20/1 131P Pulled up G1 Cheltenham

2021 Echoes in Heaven 8/13f 1411 1^st G2 Fairyhouse

2020 No race

2019 Klassical Dream 8/13f P111 1^st G1 Cheltenham

2018 Draconi 25/1 12U2 2^nd G2 Fairyhouse

2017 Class Emery 8/1 1125 5^th G1 Cheltenham

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Jonbon picked for the Celebration Chase

Jonbon picked for the Celebration Chase 

JONBON is strongly fancied to win the Celebration Chase at Sandown. He has raced ten times as a chaser and has been the odds-on favourite in nine of those races so if you can get a price of above even money on him you are doing well. Jonbon has won eight of his chasing starts and finished second in the other two. He won this race last year so it is hard to back anything else other than Jonbon. EL FABIOLO has a similar record to Jonbon. He has won six of his seven chases and pulled up in the other. That was at Cheltenham when he was the 2/9 favourite. El Fabiolo has been the odds-on favourite in six of his seven starts and will be this time as well. It will be an interesting clash between these two smart horses.

#celebrationchase #sandownuk #bettingtips

Celebration Chase at Sandown (UK) 1m7f

PAST WINNERS

YEAR WINNER ODDS FORM LAST RACE

2023 Jonbon 8/13f 1121 1^st G1 Aintree

2022 Greanteen 11/8f 4125 5^th G1 Leopardstown

2021 Greanteen 13/2 1234 4^th G1 Cheltenham

2020 No race

2019 Altior 1/6f 1111 1^st G1 Cheltenham

2018 Altior 2/11f 1111 1^st G1 Cheltenham

2017 Altior 30/100f 1111 1^st G1 Cheltenham

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Impaire Et Passe odds-on for the Select Hurdle

Impaire Et Passe odds-on for the Select Hurdle 

IMPAIRE ET PASSE is the Even money favourite for the Select Hurdle at Sandown on Saturday. He is another Willie Mullins horse. He won a G1 race at Aintree 16 days ago and won that narrowly. The third horse LANGER DAN finished within a length of Impaire Et Passe and considering the difference in odds Langer Dan at 3/1 is a better bet.

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Select Hurdle at Sandown (UK) 2m6f

PAST WINNERS

YEAR WINNER ODDS FORM LAST RACE

2023 Knappers Hill 11/2 1423 3^rd Fontwell

2022 McFabulous 4/1 8243 3^rd G1 Aintree

2021 Younevercall 5/2 24P8 8^th G1 Cheltenham

2020 No race

2019 Younevercall 9/4f 7218 8^th G1 Ascot

2018 Call Me Lord 6/4f 3132 2^nd G3 Sandown

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Aviatress picked to win first up at Morphettville

Aviatress picked to win first up at Morphettville

 AVIATRESS (race 1 Morphettville) has a form line of 114x She raced in the Red Roses at Flemington 9/11/23 last time out. That being her only defeat. This race is an R68 event. She is unbeaten in non-stakes races. AVIATRESS is also unbeaten at Morphettville.

The Breeders Stakes is normally won by the favourite. Khadme won on debut at Sandown but whether he is good enough to win this is another matter but it is worth noting that debutante 2YO winners often win again at this time of the year.

SECOND TO NUN has a change of rider in race 9 at Morphettville. Jamie Kah is aboard her. She has a fair strike-rate and is nicely-weighted.

Jimmysstar best pick at Rosehill (race 8)

JIMMYSSTAR finished out of the first three for the first time at Newcastle 8/3. That was a Group 3 race and now back to an ordinary handicap in race 8 at Rosehill. This is a race which is winnable for him. He is unbeaten at 1600m. This will be his first race at Rosehill.

SEASCAPE won on debut at Gosford and could make it two from two in race 1 at Rosehill. She won by 4 lengths that day. PISCES is the only race winner engaged. James Cummings trains him.

New York Hurricane drops in weight at Caulfield

NEW YORK HURRICANE finished second at Bendigo last time out. He was conceding Co Co Sun 6kg that day. Co Co Sun is my tip for the G1 at Morphettville. He carried 61kg at Bendigo and drops to 57kg this time. He also carried 61kg when finishing second two starts back.

CHIHULY won 17/4 with 61kg and drops to 57kg. He has won twice at 2000m but needs a reasonable track.

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Grizinger Belle picked at Morphettville

Grizinger Belle fancied at Morphettville

GRIZINGER BELLE may just get the good going that she so desperately needs in order to show her best form in the Queen of the Turf Stakes at Morphettville on Saturday. The filly was beaten half a length in the Alexandra Stakes at Moonee Valley last time out. She had 58kg to carry that day and will have just 55kg here. Like a lot of three year old fillies, she is likely to come into her own during the late Autumn.

Queen of the South Stakes (G2) 1600m F&M

PAST WINNERS

YEAR WINNER FORM LAST RACE

2023 Caste 27×11 Won MRPK

2022 Silent Sovereign 18X33 Third Oakbank

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Estriella is a class horse

Estriella has the ex-factor

The classy three year old filly Estriella has the ex-factor to take out the Robert Sangster Stakes at Morphettville, South Australia on Saturday. She has won her last three races in a row quite impressively. After just seven race starts, she has won 1.1 million dollars in Stake money. It takes an exceptional horse to achieve that feat. Benedetta is the other horse I really like. She won at Morphettville last time out and prior to that raced in two G1s in Melbourne where she finished within two lengths of the winner in each of those races.

#morphettville #adelaideracing #horseracing

Robert Sangster Stakes at Morphettville (G1) F&M 1200m

PAST WINNERS (incomplete)

YEAR WINNER FORM LAST RACE

2023 Ruthless Dame 1×320 Unplaced Coolmore Classic

2022 Snap Dancer 2110 Unpl Newmarket Handicap

2021 Instant Celebrity 113X4 4th Morphettville

2019 Spright 5227 7th Sapphire Stakes

2018 Shoals 21X81 1st Surround Stakes

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#robertsangsterstakes #morphettville #australianracing

Co Co Sun picked to win Australasian Oaks

Co Co Sun picked for the South Australian Oaks

CO CO SUN has the credentials to take out Saturday’s Australasian Oaks at Morphettville. She has won her last two races this campaign in emphatic style with her most recent win being by 3 lengths. It is noticeable that she raced in the G1 Victoria Oaks at Flemington last November. She finished unplaced that day but like a lot of fillies, she has blossomed during the Autumn. Jamie Kah will ride Co Co Sun. WINGS OF SONG will be tough to beat. This filly won two feature 3YO races in Tasmania before coming to the mainland and winning at Morphettville April 13. She has won seven of her twelve starts and you just could not put it past her to continue her winning streak. This is her toughest assignment to date though.

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South Australian Oaks at Morphettville (G1) 2000m 

PAST WINNERS

YEAR WINNER FORM LAST RACE

2023 Affaire A Suivre 7×311 Won Port Adelaide Guineas

2022 Glint of Hope 7X123 Third 3YO Hcp Caulfield

2021 Media Award 23X11 1st BM64 Geelong

2019 Princess Jenni 1X711 1st 3YOF Hcp Caulfield

2018 Sopressa 5171 1st Aurari Stakes Morphetville

2014 Mays Dream 3413 3rd Aurara Stakes Morphetville

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Wanganui (NZ) Selections

Wanganui (NZ) selections for Saturday

Race 1-Meglio Falorest

Bogged down by the heavy going last time. Drop back to 1200m will suit. Likes Wanganui. Big chance.

Race 2-Rocobaby

Unplaced in the G3 Cuddles Stakes over 1600m last time. Drop back to 1200m will suit as all four of her wins have been at 1200m. Two times winner at Wanganui. Handles all types of going.

Race 3-Lantern Way

My tip last time he appeared. Probably needs wetter ground. Chance if he gets it here. Up the Anti has to be a chance in this and is worth considering.

Race 4-Rua Rocks

Finished third at Te Rapa last time. That kind of form should be good enough for this.

Race 5-Titled

An outstanding form line. Good record at Wanganui. Prince Alby is the danger.

Race 6-Extortion

Third at Te Rapa last time will give him a good chance here. A decent track will help.

Race 7-Bourbon Falls

Only once out of the first three in five starts at Wanganui. Did not get a fair run when he last appeared here. Handles all going.

Race 8-Phats

Won last race by over 6 lengths which makes him hard to beat here.

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Thooza picked for winning debut at Te Rapa

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Thooza picked for winning debut at Te Rapa 

The two year old race at Te Rapa does not have any form of note and is likely to be won by a debutante. THOOZA is one of those. She won a recent trial over 800m and there is no reason why she cannot win on her debut unless of course the lack of experience beats her but her trainer Tony Pike is known for having his youngsters ready to go first up. JADE DRAGON and SISTER CYRANE are other debutantes that won recent trials and there is no reason why they cannot win on debut either,

Cambridge Raceway 2YO SW+P at Te Rapa 1200m

PAST WINNERS

YEAR WINNER ODDS FORM LAST RACE

2023 Solidify $8.30 3 3^rd Tauranga maiden

2022 Chamario $4.80 3231 Won Maiden 2YO

2021 Turning the Ace $2.80 On debut

2020 No race due to covid lock down

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Contribute picked at Te Rapa

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Contribute set to make her mark at Te Rapa

CONTRIBUTE is a great chance of winning the Travis Stakes at Te Rapa on Saturday. The Robbie Patterson trained mare won the Taranaki Cup in February. After that she ran in the Kaimai Stakes at Matamata where she finished within two lengths of the winner SAINT ALICE. She had a freshener after that and resumed 13 April at Otaki where she ran third to Lightning Jack and The Fearless One, both male horses. The heavy going was not her most favoured track and Te Rapa is expected to provide better footing for her. APOSTROPHE is expected to be the danger after her Manawatu Breeders Stakes victory. She is the equal top rated runner with DISS IS DRAMATIC who won the Japan/BOP Trophy at Tauranga 23/3. Diss is Dramatic is trained by Lisa Latta and you have got to respect a latta trained runner when they trek north. SAINT ALICE is a classy mare who adds to the puzzle. She won the listed Kaimai Stakes, 24/2 but has not raced since finishing fourth to Pearl of Alsace at Ellerslie, 9/3.

Travis Stakes (Gp 2) at Te Rapa 2000m F&M

YEAR WINNER LAST RACE AGE

2023 AROMATIC Won Manawatu Breeders Stakes 6

2022 TWO ILLICIT Third G1 WFA Te Rapa 5

2021 PIERINA 3rd Anzac Mile Awapuni 6

2020 No race due to covid lockdown

2019 SUPERA 2nd Te Aroha Breeders Stakes 4

2018 OUR ABBADEAN 2nd Hawkes Bay Cup (Hastings) 5

2017 MIME 3rd Te Aroha Breeders Stakes (G1) 4

2016 RASA LILA 3rd Easter Handicap (Ellerslie) 5

1015 ABIDEWITHME 6th Easter Handicap (Ellerslie) 5

2014 LAUREN TATE 5th R85 Awapuni 4

2013 PIMMS TIME 1st R85 Hastings 4

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